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Standing facts

  • 08 engines · one evidence model
  • 02 arenas · francophone Europe / Africa
  • Entry from 2 minutes · free, no account needed
  • Every engagement ends in a verdict , never a slide deck
  • Fees anchored to value at stake · never consultant days
  • Every instrument published blank · 33 rows in the public register
Proof before scale

We test high-stakes decisions before you execute them.

Stredge Partners designs, simulates and tests your highest-stakes decisions before capital, reputation and people are committed.

The evidence model
Five steps · one verdict
  1. 01
    Diagnose
  2. 02
    Simulate
  3. 03
    Experiment
  4. 04
    Validate
  5. 05
    Verdict

An evidence gate sits between each step. Nothing advances on conviction alone, and the last step is always written down.

The discipline

Evidence-Based Business Engineering: turning conviction into evidence, and evidence into verdicts.

Built for the mid-market

EUR 30 to 500M companies, where decisions move fast and capital is never abstract.

Two arenas

Francophone Europe, francophone Africa and its corridors. Senior-only delivery, native-grade French and English.

Featured insight
THESIS · OUR OWN EVIDENCE

Evidence over eloquence.

Our founding conviction, and the one claim we hold ourselves to first.

Advice is abundant. Validated decisions are not.

When analysis is cheap, the edge belongs to the organisations that can tell evidence from eloquence before they commit. That is the whole of the method.

Read the evidence note
What we do

Evidence for accelerated, defensible growth

We offer one discipline, Evidence-Based Business Engineering, applied to the decisions that move your P&L: pricing, cash, growth, operations, AI and governance.

  1. 01

    Every engagement ends in a verdict: scale, redesign, test further, or stop. Never a slide deck alone.

  2. 02

    Every value claim carries a baseline, attribution, an owner and a measurement window.

  3. 03

    Every pilot is bounded, with guardrails, a scale threshold and stop rules.

Our services

A team of senior operators and partners who test high-stakes decisions before execution, leveraged by governed AI analysts rather than junior pyramids.

We work in two arenas we know from the operating chair: francophone Europe, and francophone Africa with its Paris, Brussels and Geneva corridors.

Fees are anchored to the value at stake in your decision, never to consultant days.

SP
The Partners
Senior-only delivery
Where we focus

Eight decision engines. One evidence model.

Repeatable products that turn business problems into tested decisions. Each engine leads with a flagship and the question it settles, and the learning compounds from one to the next.

07 · FLAGSHIP

Mergers & acquisitions

The Deal Reality Assurance Twin™. Earnings quality, the gap between the company being sold and the one you inherit, and the price that survives the evidence — resolved to one of five governed postures.

08 · FLAGSHIP

Turnaround and recovery

The Turnaround Reality & Recovery Twin™. Two clocks — cash runway and evidence readiness — read against one another, so the recovery plan is authorised on the room to manoeuvre that actually remains.

One twin governs the company you are about to buy. The other governs the company you already own when it stops paying for itself.

01

Profit and pricing

Margin leakage, discount discipline, offers, price architecture and elasticity, tested before the move is made.

Read more →
02

Cash and capital

Working-capital release, capex gates, cash velocity and liquidity under pressure, with evidence gates before commitment.

Read more →
03

Growth and commercial

Binding constraints, market expansion, sales productivity and offer design, sized against the evidence.

Read more →
04

Operations and supply

Logistics economics, procurement, inventory, and the true cost of service promises.

Read more →
05

AI and productivity

Workflow experiments that prove where AI creates value before you scale it, and where it does not.

Read more →
06

Leadership, governance and risk

Board decisions, crisis rehearsal, capital-allocation gates and the downside quantified before you commit.

Read more →
Flagship M&A product

Deal Reality Assurance Twin™

The decision-assurance layer between the data room and the board. The Twin quantifies the gap between the company being sold and the one the buyer will inherit, then resolves the deal to one of five governed postures.

A CLOSED LOOP

Pre-deal evidence · integration under the same instruments · learning fed back into the next deal.

Illustrative

Specimen · illustrative figures
Target · inheritedV5 · verdict
Sustainable EBITDA€ 33.1M
Integration cost€ 4.8M
Deal envelope9.2× — 9.6×
Walk-away price€ 305M
Governed postureProceed
  • Target · presented (V1): EBITDA (adj.) € 42.0M; Growth (yoy) 14%; Multiple 9.6×
  • Target · tested (V3): EBITDA, quality-adjusted € 36.4M; Earnings quality 2 of 5 open; Gap surfaced € 5.6M
  • Target · inherited (V5 · verdict): Sustainable EBITDA € 33.1M; Integration cost € 4.8M; Deal envelope 9.2× — 9.6×; Walk-away price € 305M
A worked specimen, not a client. The figures are illustrative and exist to show the one thing the Twin produces: the distance between the € 42.0M the seller presents and the € 33.1M the buyer inherits, and the price that survives it. Open the specimen sheet →
FIVE VERSIONS OF THE TARGET
Presented to Inherited: five versions of the targetFive successive versions of the same target, from the version presented to the version inherited. The wedge beneath the sequence marks the widening gap between the first and the last.THE GAP01PresentedThe company being sold02VerifiedAfter the evidence is reconciled03Cash-adjustedAfter earnings convert to cash04StandaloneWithout the seller's group05InheritedThe company you actually run
Show the five versions as text
VersionWhat it is
01 · PresentedThe company being sold
02 · VerifiedAfter the evidence is reconciled
03 · Cash-adjustedAfter earnings convert to cash
04 · StandaloneWithout the seller's group
05 · InheritedThe company you actually run
FIVE GOVERNED POSTURES
01
Proceed
Evidence supports the deal at price
02
Protect
Warranties, escrow, earn-out
03
Reprice
Bid reflects the inherited reality
04
Pause
Missing evidence must be secured first
05
Walk away
The gap cannot be closed at any price

One twin governs the value you are about to buy. The other governs the value you are about to lose.

FLAGSHIP 02 / 02 · TURNAROUND AND RECOVERY

Turnaround Reality & Recovery Twin™

It reads decline before it is called a crisis, separates cash runway from decision runway, and resolves the whole picture to one governed posture — with the conditions that would change it.

Ten modules
From distress signal to replay, each module owns one authoritative question.
Seven postures
From early intervention to orderly wind-down. Exactly one is issued.
Two clocks
Cash runway is not decision runway.
The truth planeTen modules · one output
Evidence in
  • Cash
  • Margin
  • Operations
  • Customers
  • Suppliers
  • People
  • Stakeholders
  • Forecast
Ten deterministic modules
  1. 01
    Distress Signal
  2. 02
    Crisis Clock & Runway
  3. 03
    Decline Causality
  4. 04
    Enterprise Viability
  5. 05
    Recovery Options
  6. 06
    Stakeholder Support
  7. 07
    Recovery Initiative
  8. 08
    Execution Momentum
  9. 09
    Renewal & Reauthorisation
  10. 10
    Turnaround Replay & Learning
One governed posture

From early intervention to orderly wind-down — with the conditions that would change it, written down.

The Recovery Twin reads eight evidence streams through ten deterministic modules and resolves them to one governed posture.
List the ten modules in order
  1. Distress Signal Engine
  2. Crisis Clock & Runway Engine
  3. Decline Causality Engine
  4. Enterprise Viability Engine
  5. Recovery Options Engine
  6. Stakeholder Support Engine
  7. Recovery Initiative Engine
  8. Execution Momentum Engine
  9. Renewal & Reauthorisation Engine
  10. Turnaround Replay & Learning Engine
Your journey

Start with nine gates. Commit only when the evidence says so.

Four rungs, one ladder. Each rung earns the next: you never buy the mission before the evidence.

L0

Evidence Express

Under 2 minutes · self-serve

A free self-serve reading. Nine gates across three domains — value leakage, AI readiness, decision quality. Each domain is read and reported on its own: no total, no percentage, no grade. It ends in a printable memo you keep. Paid work starts at the Decision Sprint (L1).

Free, no account needed
L1

Decision Sprint

2 to 3 weeks

One decision stress-tested: hypothesis, simulation, evidence gaps, confidence score, verdict recommendation.

Fixed fee, agreed upfront
L2

Executive Mission

6 to 12 weeks

The full cycle on one high-stakes decision, ending in a written verdict: scale, redesign, test further, or stop.

Base fee plus success-linked option
L3

Decision Cockpit

Annual

Standing evidence infrastructure: quarterly decision reviews, benefits-ledger maintenance, governed AI analysts in your rhythm.

Annual subscription

Fees anchored to the value at stake, never to consultant days. Detailed pricing is provided in proposals. See the engagement ladder →

The most expensive line in a P&L is the decision that should never have been executed.
STREDGE PARTNERS · THE EVIDENCE COMPANY
The refusal list

What an evidence company will not do.

01

No recommendation without a testable hypothesis.

02

No engagement without a named decision and decision owner.

03

No dashboard without a decision it improves.

04

No AI initiative without a workflow experiment and governance.

05

No value claim without baseline, attribution, owner and measurement window.

06

No pilot without a scale threshold and stop rules.

If a proposed engagement cannot satisfy these rules, we decline it.

The method

Five steps. One verdict.

  1. 01

    Diagnose

    Establish facts. Expose where value leaks and which decision matters most. Baseline agreed and CFO-verifiable, so every later claim is anchored.

    GateIs the baseline agreed in writing?
  2. 02

    Simulate

    Test economic and operational consequences, second-order effects included, before anything is committed.

    GateDoes the downside survive the model?
  3. 03

    Experiment

    Run a bounded pilot with baselines, guardrails and stop rules set in advance.

    GateAre the stop rules set before the spend?
  4. 04

    Validate

    Measure realised impact against the CFO-verifiable baseline, not against the forecast.

    GateDid finance sign the measured result?
  5. 05

    Verdict

    Scale, redesign, test further, or stop. Stated in writing, against a standard written before the evidence arrived.

The evidence pipeline
  1. 1Diagnose
    Gate
  2. 2Simulate
    Gate
  3. 3Experiment
    Gate
  4. 4Validate
    Gate
  5. 5Verdict
The Evidence Pipeline, five steps with evidence gates between each, ending in a written verdict.

The six gates below run this method on a decision you name, in about a minute.

Try the discipline

How defensible is your next decision?

Six gates we run before any engagement, in order. We stop at the first one that is open — there is no score, because a cleared gate does not repair an open one.

These six are a subset. Evidence Express runs the full nine gates across three domains.

Want the reading behind the decision? Take the nine-gate reading →

The Evidence-to-Decision Cycle

The Gate — six gates, in order. We stop at the first one that is open — because that is what a gate does.

Stays in this browser. It is never sent to us, and never encoded in the shareable link.

Gate 01 of 06

The decision has one named owner.

Not a committee and not a function. One person who will be asked, afterwards, why.

Insights

Evidence notes from the operating chair

EVIDENCE NOTE

The Discipline · No. 01

Published

Evidence before scale

The one rule that reorders every other rule in the firm.

Read the note →
EVIDENCE NOTE

AI, honestly · No. 01

Published

AI, honestly

The frame for the whole framework: no vendor pitches, no unattributed claims.

Read the note →
EVIDENCE NOTE

MarginLeak · No. 01

Published

Your revenue is visible. Your margin leakage is not.

How true profitability by customer, product, channel and payment behaviour hides in the data you already own.

Read the note →

One decision, one owner, one hour.

No procurement process for the first. Choose the door that fits the decision on your desk.

1

Bring us one decision

A pricing move, an expansion, an AI program. Two to three weeks to a verdict recommendation.

Send one decision →
2

Evidence Express

A free self-serve reading. Nine gates across three domains — value leakage, AI readiness, decision quality. Each domain is read and reported on its own: no total, no percentage, no grade. It ends in a printable memo you keep. Paid work starts at the Decision Sprint (L1).

Score your decision →
3

Scan one business unit

A MarginLeak X-Ray sprint: twenty working days, at least one real decision changed on evidence.

Scan a BU →
Questions & answers

Your questions, with our evidence

What exactly does Stredge Partners do?
We stress-test a single high-stakes decision — a price move, a bid, an M&A closing, a restructuring, an AI programme — against the evidence you already own, before you execute it. Every engagement starts with one named decision, one decision owner and one written verdict. We do not sell advice by the hour; we sell the evidence that lets a board commit or hold.
What do we actually receive?
A short signed verdict document: the decision framed, the evidence tested, a confidence score, the recommendation, and the instruments to execute it or the reasons to hold. It is designed to be read by a CFO, an auditor and a board in the same room, without a supporting deck. Redacted specimens are available on request.
How are fees structured?
Fixed fees anchored to the value at stake and disclosed before we start — never billed by consultant days. On Executive Missions, a portion of the fee can be tied to a benefits ledger reconciled against your finance system on a schedule you set. If the verdict fails our own nine-gate defensibility test, you do not pay the mission fee. The fee sheet is available on request.
Who is Stredge Partners built for?
CEOs, CFOs and boards of EUR 30–500M companies facing a decision that must survive audit, financing scrutiny, or a change of shareholder. We work with family-owned groups, founder-led companies, PE portfolio companies and country subsidiaries across Francophone Europe and Francophone Africa and their corridors.
What are the six rules you work by?
Our refusal list, published in full on the About page: no recommendation without a testable hypothesis; no engagement without a named decision and decision owner; no dashboard without a decision it improves; no AI initiative without a workflow experiment and governance; no value claim without baseline, attribution, owner and measurement window; no pilot without a scale threshold and stop rules. If a mission cannot meet the six, we do not take it.
Do the platforms actually exist?
STREDGELAB is our own production system: it runs the deterministic engines, holds the evidence record and versions every method statement. It is not software we license to you. The engagement itself is a live, human-run method — our people apply the engine to your decision, and you receive the evidence and the verdict, never a seat in a tool. The engines named on the Services pages — MarginLeak X-Ray™, Deal Reality Assurance Twin™, and the rest — are versioned internally, and each carries a written method statement. We share the method statement for the engine your decision would use, on request, before we sign an engagement letter.
How is our data protected?
Data you send us through the contact form and any documents shared for an engagement sit on managed cloud infrastructure in our declared European production region, encrypted in transit (TLS 1.2+) and at rest (AES-256), with Row-Level Security scoping every read and write. Access is limited to named partners under MFA. We do not train third-party AI models on client data and use no advertising or session-replay subprocessors. Full posture, subprocessor list and incident contact on the security page; lawful basis and retention on the privacy page.
What happens in Evidence Express?
You take one decision on your desk through nine gates across three domains — value leakage, AI readiness, decision quality — on the page, in about two minutes. Each domain is read and reported on its own: there is no total, no percentage and no grade. It ends in a printable memo you keep. It is free, needs no account, and nothing is booked. If you want a written verdict on the decision itself, that is the Decision Sprint (L1).
Arenas & Situations We Know
Family-owned groups·Founder-led companies·PE portfolio companies·Country subsidiaries·France · United Kingdom · Belgium · Luxembourg · Switzerland·Côte d'Ivoire · Senegal · Benin · Togo·Cameroon · Morocco · Guinea·Paris · Brussels · Geneva corridors

Evidence for your next high-stakes decision, starting with nine gates.

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