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SPARK · The funding test for indicators

Bruno Hounkpati, Founding Partner and CEO

SPARK is a five-criterion test that decides whether a lead indicator deserves a budget line: signal strength, pattern cohesion, anchored alignment, resilience and knowledge velocity. Score each criterion 1 to 5 and fund the measure only when no score is below 3 and the average is 4 or more.

What it answers

Does this indicator deserve a budget line?

When to use it

The five criteria

CriterionWhat it meansThe question to ask
SSignal strengthPredicts results 6 to 18 months out.Over the past two or three years, did this indicator move before results did?
PPattern cohesionMoves with industry and economic shifts.When the sector or the economy turned, did this indicator register it?
AAnchored alignmentFits the strategy and stakeholder priorities.Which strategic priority does it serve, and who owns it?
RResilienceHard to game or distort.Could a team improve the number without improving the business?
KKnowledge velocityTeaches you fast enough to adjust.Does it update before the decision it informs is due?

Scoring anchors

135
SNo link seen with later resultsA link, but irregular or less than 6 months aheadMoves 6 to 18 months ahead, checked on your own history
PBlind to outside changeRegisters it lateRegisters it as it happens
ANo named priority, no ownerLoosely linked to the strategyTied to a named priority, owned by someone with the decision rights
REasy to move without real changeCan be moved with some effortMoves only with real work, cross-checked against a second source
KYearly, or after the decisionQuarterlyMonthly or faster, inside the decision window

Scores of 2 and 4 sit between the anchors.

The rule

Score each criterion 1 to 5. Fund a measure only when no score is below 3 and the average is 4 or more. Otherwise fix it or drop it.

The SPARK rule Decision path. Score the five criteria. If any score is below 3, fix or drop the measure. If not, check the average: 4 or more means fund; below 4 means fix or drop. S · P · A · R · K Score the five criteria Any score below 3? NO Average 4 or more? YES Fund Fix or drop YES NO One weak score cannot be bought back by strong ones. FIG 05LEADERSHIP TOOLS · BRUNO HOUNKPATI · V1.0
The SPARK rule as a decision path.

Why both conditions. A strong average can hide one fatal weakness. A measure that is easy to game misleads you however well it predicts. The floor stops one high score from buying back a flaw. The average stops a measure that is merely passable everywhere.

Two conditions, both required Bar chart of one illustrative measure, share of sales from new products, scored S 5, P 4, A 4, R 2, K 5. A solid floor line at 3 and a dashed average line at 4. The average is 4.0 and passes, but resilience scores 2, below the floor. Decision: fix. Share of sales from products launched in the past three years 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 S Signal 4 P Pattern 4 A Alignment 2 R Resilience 5 K Knowledge FLOOR · NO SCORE BELOW 3 AVERAGE · 4 OR MORE ✓ Average 4.0 passes ✕ R = 2 below the floor DECISION Fix FIG 04LEADERSHIP TOOLS · BRUNO HOUNKPATI · V1.0
Two conditions, both required. One weak score cannot be bought back by strong ones.
Show the underlying numbers
MeasureSPARKAverageDecision
Share of sales from products launched in the past three years544254.0Fix

Worked examples (illustrative scores)

Five measures, one rule Five illustrative measures scored on S, P, A, R and K, each shown against the floor at 3. AI spend: 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, average 1.4, drop. Key decisions built on AI forecasts, checked against results: 5, 4, 4, 4, 5, average 4.4, fund. Succession plan on file: 1, 2, 3, 1, 1, average 1.6, drop. Key roles with a successor who has done the job: 5, 3, 5, 4, 4, average 4.2, fund. Share of sales from new products: 5, 4, 4, 2, 5, average 4.0, fix. ILLUSTRATIVE SCORES AI spend S P A R K AVG 1.4 DROP AI forecasts, checked against results S P A R K AVG 4.4 FUND Succession plan on file S P A R K AVG 1.6 DROP Successor who has done the job S P A R K AVG 4.2 FUND Share of sales from new products S P A R K AVG 4.0 FIX FIG 06LEADERSHIP TOOLS · BRUNO HOUNKPATI · V1.0
Five illustrative measures against the floor at 3.
Show the underlying numbers
MeasureSPARKAverageDecision
AI spend122111.4Drop
Key decisions built on AI forecasts, checked against results544454.4Fund
Succession plan on file123111.6Drop
Key roles with a successor who has already done the job535444.2Fund
Share of sales from products launched in the past three years544254.0Fix
MeasureSPARKAverageDecision
AI spend122111.4Drop
Key decisions built on AI forecasts, checked against results544454.4Fund
Succession plan on file123111.6Drop
Key roles with a successor who has already done the job535444.2Fund
Share of sales from products launched in the past three years544254.0Fix

The last line. The average passes. The floor does not. Relabelling old products lifts the number without any new product. Fix it: define what counts as new before the year starts, have finance check it, then score again.

Common mistakes

  • Scoring alone. Score with the owner of the measure and with one person who does not own it. A gap of 2 points or more is the conversation to have.
  • Scoring the intention. Score the measure as it is collected today, not as it will be once the new system is live.
  • Letting the average decide. One score below 3 means fix or drop, whatever the average.
  • Letting green measures skip the test. An offset bought, a policy signed or a report filed scores low on resilience. Emissions per tonne, checked against metered energy, can pass.
  • Testing once a year. A measure marked SPARK focus is tested again the next quarter.
  • Keeping a dropped measure “for information”. If it informs no decision, stop collecting it.

One-page template

One row per measure: measure, owner, S, P, A, R, K, lowest score, average, fund, fix or drop, fix needed, next test date.

Download the template (PDF)

What it builds on

  • Kusek and Rist (2004), Ten Steps to a Results-Based Monitoring and Evaluation System, World Bank, step 3. The “CREAM” of good performance indicators, a checklist for whether an indicator is usable.
  • McChesney, Covey and Huling (2012), The 4 Disciplines of Execution. Lead measures.
  • Goodhart (1975). Pressure to control a number weakens what it tells you.

What SPARK adds. Criteria built for lead indicators that must earn funding (prediction horizon, link to the outside economy, resistance to gaming, learning speed) and a rule under which no single strength can buy back a weakness.

Frequently asked questions

What does SPARK stand for?

Signal strength, Pattern cohesion, Anchored alignment, Resilience and Knowledge velocity.

What is the SPARK rule?

Score each criterion 1 to 5. Fund a measure only when no score is below 3 and the average is 4 or more. Otherwise fix it or drop it.

Why is the average not enough?

A strong average can hide one fatal weakness, such as a measure that is easy to game.

How does SPARK differ from SMART and CREAM?

SMART (Doran, 1981) checks how an objective is written. CREAM (Kusek and Rist, 2004) checks whether an indicator is usable. SPARK decides whether a lead indicator earns a budget line.

© 2026 Bruno Hounkpati · Published by Stredge Partners with his permission · Free to use with attribution, without modification.

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